What will a truce with Russia give Ukraine: Bloomberg forecasted the consequences.

According to Bloomberg, a truce could weaken Ukraine and strengthen Vladimir Putin. The details of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's victory plan have not been disclosed, but he stated that a strong Ukraine could force Putin to come to the negotiating table.

The authors of the article note that every sane person wants to end the war. It has led to a million casualties and great destruction. It has created instability and ruined the economy.

«He is right to a certain extent. As long as Putin believes he can outlast Western support for Ukraine, his war of attrition will continue. The question is how to change his calculations», the article notes.

According to Bloomberg, Putin has shown interest in negotiations in the past, but his conditions include Ukraine's renunciation of claims to unlawfully annexed regions and Crimea, as well as renunciation of NATO membership. Russia's economy is oriented towards supporting the war, and Putin's goal remains unchanged - Ukraine must become a vassal of Russia.

Pause in the war and Western fatigue

Cessation of fire could create risks for Ukraine, including giving the Russian army Time to recruit new soldiers, plan mobilization, and replenish weapon stocks. Putin will use this for new attacks, as he did before. At the same time, a pause could undermine international support for Ukraine.

The West must ensure Ukraine has maximum negotiating capacity before negotiations begin. It must continue strengthening Ukraine's defense and supporting arms supplies, as well as guaranteeing security for Ukraine.

«Throughout his reign, Putin has always violated truces and agreements when it suited him. There are reasons to believe he will do so again unless preventive measures are taken», journalists say.

The West must be ready to continue financing and supporting Ukraine. The Ukrainian victory plan includes five points concerning military and economic support. President Zelenskyy also plans to present it to the citizens of Ukraine.