NYT named the factors that will lead to the end of the war in Ukraine.

Analysis: the war in Ukraine could end in 2025

According to an analysis published by The New York Times, the war in Ukraine could end in 2025. Regardless of the results of the presidential elections in the USA, the conflict is likely to finish next year due to the exhaustion of both sides.

If Donald Trump wins, peace negotiations may start sooner as he promised to end the war before his inauguration.

NYT highlights four key issues that will determine the development of the conflict. These are Ukraine's ability to continue fighting without US support, the possibility of returning occupied territories through diplomacy, the nature of security guarantees for Ukraine (considering that NATO membership is currently impossible), and the ability to protect Kyiv from a potential future Russian offensive.

The situation regarding the continuation of hostilities in Ukraine is becoming critical, as without significant additional support, the war will soon come to an end. Europe will not be able to fill the gap in support provided by the USA due to limited economic resources.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky acknowledged that the issue of returning occupied territories may be resolved through diplomatic means rather than military force. The partially occupied Kursk region of Russia, which is a reserve for Ukraine, may be considered in the talks.

NATO membership is currently impossible due to Trump's position and the Republicans in the Senate. Instead of military guarantees, Trump may try to reach a compromise with Putin regarding Ukraine's economic integration with Europe.

The most challenging issue remains the defense of Kyiv from a future Russian attack. Earlier commitments by Russia to respect Ukraine's sovereignty have not been fulfilled, making it difficult to find reliable guarantees.